'Investors always want the most at the END of any advance'

By Elliott Wave International

On December 6, within two days of the Dow's all-time high, the Elliott Wave Financial Forecast offered this unique insight:

"Leverage is investors' real-money way of expressing an extremely positive social mood, which prompts the thought, "I want more." Investors always want the most at the end of any advance. The charts below show the merger of these two trends, as leveraged ETF volume now sports the classic verticality that invariably marks the end of a mania. Notice the ever more powerful risk orientation illustrated by the other chart of leveraged U.S. single-stock ETF bets. According to SentimenTrader.com, there are now $14 in leveraged long ETFs for every $1 in leveraged short funds, which exceeds the prior record from December 27, 2021, a month right between the market top in the NASDAQ in November 2021 and the Dow and S&P in January 2022. The ratio has surged a Fibonacci 62% since the end of October. Here, as in so many areas, riskier assets are experiencing the most rapid increases, signaling an impending exhaustion. Thanks to the miracle of modern financial engineering, leverage has seeped into every pore of finance."

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This article was syndicated by Elliott Wave International and was originally published under the headline 'Investors always want the most at the END of any advance'. EWI is the world's largest market forecasting firm. Its staff of full-time analysts led by Chartered Market Technician Robert Prechter provides 24-hour-a-day market analysis to institutional and private investors around the world.

Coinbase and the 1.618 Multiple

By Elliott Wave International

Fibonacci Elliott wave relationships often present themselves in the chart of a financial market. One common relationship is that the fifth wave will be 1.618 x the price move of the first wave. Based on that knowledge, here's the COIN (Coinbase) chart and forecast that Elliott Wave International published in their December 2024 Global Market Perspective:

COINBASE: We expect wave 5 to end near 364.09, the 1.618 multiple of wave 1 [see chart below]:

The chart below shows a March 31, 2025 update of the price action which followed the above forecast. Notice that fifth waves at two degrees of trend terminated within 14 points of EWI's price target:

EWI's global analysts regularly use Elliott wave ratio analysis for all major financial markets, including other cryptocurrencies. Their forecasts do not always work out as anticipated, yet, you'd be amazed at how often ratio analysis helps to keep you ahead of trend changes.

Want to learn more about Elliott wave analysis? Get instant and FREE access to EWI's handy guide: Learn the Essentials of the Elliott Wave Principle in 30 Minutes.

This article was syndicated by Elliott Wave International and was originally published under the headline Coinbase and the 1.618 Multiple. EWI is the world's largest market forecasting firm. Its staff of full-time analysts led by Chartered Market Technician Robert Prechter provides 24-hour-a-day market analysis to institutional and private investors around the world.