Tuesday, 5 August 2025

EWAVES Has Logged 2,329 S&P Points Since February

By Elliott Wave International

How powerful is EWAVES? Let the numbers speak for themselves. Imagine acting on just two EWAVES calls this year:

February 24, 2025: EWAVES identified the termination of a 2-year long uptrend before the S&P 500 closed that day at 5983. A short there, covered at the 4982 close on April 8th when EWAVES recognized that the decline was over, would have delivered 1,001 S&P points.

April 8, 2025: EWAVES turned bullish, with waves labeled to indicate a move to new all-time highs. Buying at the close around 4982 and staying with EWAVES’ bullish opinion into the July 22nd close at 6309 (a conservative bullish target) delivered another 1,328 S&P points.

That’s a total of 2,329 S&P points, following just two calls from EWAVES. With just a single S&P E-Mini contract, those points would be worth $116,450.

This isn’t hindsight. These were real-time forecasts, made before the turns, with precise wave labeling and elliotticity confidence scores.

February 24, 2025 – Bearish Setup

April 8, 2025 – Bullish Setup

July 22, 2025 – Conservative Bullish Target Met

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This article was syndicated by Elliott Wave International and was originally published under the headline EWAVES Has Logged 2,329 S&P Points Since February. EWI is the world's largest market forecasting firm. Its staff of full-time analysts led by Chartered Market Technician Robert Prechter provides 24-hour-a-day market analysis to institutional and private investors around the world.

Friday, 1 August 2025

Proof That the Fed Doesn't Control Interest Rates

By Elliott Wave International

Before every Fed meeting, investors and pundits wait in a state of high alert. Will the Fed raise rates? Cut them? Do nothing?

They are wasting their time.

The Fed doesn’t control interest rates; it’s the other way around.

History shows that the T-bill market moves first — and the Fed follows.

On August 30, 2007, Elliott Wave International used this reliable relationship to forecast a dramatic rate cut. Three weeks later, the Fed fulfilled their prediction. And they kept doing so until T-bill rates bottomed. This chart shows how the Fed’s rate constantly lags the T-bill rate.

This relationship has held true for decades. And not just in the U.S. – but in Europe, the U.K., and Australia, too.

Chapter 3 of The Socionomic Theory of Finance tells the full story of markets’ global dominance of interest rate policy. Read it &mdash FREE — for a limited time.

This article was syndicated by Elliott Wave International and was originally published under the headline Proof That the Fed Doesn't Control Interest Rates. EWI is the world's largest market forecasting firm. Its staff of full-time analysts led by Chartered Market Technician Robert Prechter provides 24-hour-a-day market analysis to institutional and private investors around the world.